2019 Billion Dollar Films

A few days ago I wrote about billion dollar box office films and with 36 by the end of 2018 (unless Aquaman keeps pace and becomes the 37th) I thought I would have a go at predicting which films may break the barrier again.. 2019 could be HUGE..

Alita: Battle Angel

One of my movies for 2019 (and was on the 2018 list until it got moved back) this film is directed bt the billion dollar filmmaker himself, James Cameron. With his own Avatar supplanting his own Titanic as the biggest box office of all time, the guy can hardly do wrong..

Odds of hitting – 20%

Captain Marvel

Black Panther was the last introductory film in the MCU and trundled it’s way up to $1.35 Billion worldwide including a ridiculous $700 Million stateside, good for 3rd all time.. I don’t expect Captain Marvel to do as well in the local market this time around, but interest post Avengers: Infinity War might help it’s totals.

Odds of hitting – 65%

Shazam!

We at FCPN debate the DCEU frequently. With Aquaman set to take the new lead in box office total for the series it’s up to Shazam to keep the pace.. my gut says it won’t do quite as well with sandwiched between two MCU Behemoths..

Odds of hitting – 10%

Hellboy

I debated whether putting this in here was worth it, until a conversation we had on franchises getting canned if films don’t get near the fabled billion meant I probably had to. I won’t be betting on this getting near.. $500 Million is probably a success…

Odds of hitting – 0%

Avengers: Endgame

One of two films I would actually bet my house on joining the club. It has a chance of joining the elite group of films that have taken $2 Billion Which currently stands at four, and includes Infinity War.

Odds of hitting – 100%

John Wick 3

Nonsense. That what this film will entail this summer. I just threw it in here as it is my second favourite movie I am looking forward to this year. Nonsense also indicates it’s chances of a box office Billion seeing as part 1 and 2 took $88 Million and $171 Million worldwide.

Odds of hitting – 0%

Aladdin

The continuation of Disney reimagining their films in live action. Dumbo due out in March time is likely to do ok but it is this remake alongside The Lion King that stand the best chance. Beauty and the Beast took $1.26 Billion, proof that the new generation will happily revisit these films with their own little ones.

Odds of hitting – 45%

Godzilla: King of Monsters

Our @kezijin has this high on his list (alongside a spooky clown film mentioned later). This interconnected franchise of King Kong, Godzilla etc has been hit and miss at the box office so far.. Will this make it?

Odds of hitting – 5%

X-Men: Dark Phoenix

With the Fox properties due to be brought into the MCU this is their swansong in the old world, but with advance word not extremely favourable (compared with Fantastic Four.. ouch) the odds of this doing great slipped massively.

Odds of hitting – 0%

Toy Story 4

With number three having taken $1.06 Billion back in 2010 and inflation helping take care of any potential shortfall in number of people going back this has a high chance of getting to the magic number.

Odds of hitting – 95%

Spider-man: Far From Home

With anything being attached to the MCU being a goldmine at the box office plus Venoms far better than expected box office this has a better chance than I had originally thought.

Odds of hitting – 85%

The Lion King

The second of Disneys live action remakes that has a chance and arguably bigger due to the continued success of the musical versions that are cemented in west end/Broadway et all. Or have too many people already seen it to care?

Odds of hitting – 70%

IT: Chapter 2

@kezijin most looked forward to movie of 2019 (and my least.. you would have to pay me thousands to consider it). But how successful will IT be? Part one took $700 Million so it has a little work to do, but not loads…

Odds of hitting – 25%

Frozen 2

Back to what Disney do best. Animation. Despite quarrels in the FCPN camp around it’s chances I am convinced it hits the mark. The original took $1.28 Billion and by the time this sequel arrives six years will have passed…. six more years of kids who have grown up into a Frozen obsessed childhood (Speaking from experience, my 4 year old niece is utterly Frozen mad) and it will also benefit from the time of year being a Christmas release.

Odds of hitting – 100%

Star Wars: Episode IX

The second of my slam dunks. Even after all the backlash of The Last Jedi and some fans boycotting there is no way this doesn’t hit the Billion mark. We now HAVE to know how the story ends.

Odds of hitting – 100%

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